I was on the road again last week (hey, that would be a great title for a song!) and missed most of the Libyan uprising. At one point, I caught a headline that announced “Ghaddafi opens fire on protestors,” and in a moment of confusion I thought that Ghaddafi had actually grabbed a gun personally and opened fire. Because, well, he is actually that crazy. (Who the hell names their kid “Sword of Islam” without trying to be ironic? I mean, even the Prophet Muhammad gave his kids normal names, and if anyone had the right to name his kids “Sword of Islam” it would have been him, right?)
So, Tunisia down … kinda …and Egypt down … kinda … and there’s rioting in Bahrain, Yemen’s on the edge, and Libya is … well, Libya has fractured into the parts that have managed to rid themselves of the man who is a cross between Mobutu Sese Seko and Kim Jong Il, and the parts that haven’t. The problem for the Libyans, of course, is that Ghaddafi is insane — and I mean that literally. I was told rather emphatically once that Arabs do not use the term “majnoon” in the way that Americans do — when people invoke the term “crazy,” they don’t mean “”She’s flying to London for a three day weekend? She’s crazy!” They mean, “Call the guys in the white jackets to come haul this guy out because he’s getting financial advice from trees.” (Granted, given the way the world financial system imploded, it’s probably as good a place as any for reasonable advice, but that’s not the point.)
I’m still not that clear on the situation in Libya, and, as with Egypt and Tunisia, I tend to tune in to Twitter and Facebook before I hit the news sites (and I still start with al-Jazeera English, that scion of news formerly derided as anti-American by people who’d never watched it that is now apparently experiencing a 2000% increase in viewership because everyone wants to see. Irony rocks.) The other day multiple FB pals posted a video of troops uncovering mass graves in the parts of the country that are now under control of the new provisional government. I had that moment of liberal guilt every time I loaded up the page and scrolled quickly past them. (“Am I allowed to skip this revolution and focus on the next one?”)
I’m still trying to figure out what’s going on in Egypt, too. I’ve reflected a couple of times that the country is at the point where, in Act III, we discover that Lando has been working for Darth Vader all along — the constitution is suspended, parliament dissolved, and the country is under military rule. “It’s a trap!”
I expressed this to a friend of mine whose skills in smartassery are equivalent to my own, who pondered this for a moment and then asked me who Han Solo was in this analogy.
“I … don’t know,” I said.
“I just like my Star Wars analogies well thought out,” he said.
The other thing — and I’m sorry folks, but can we have a moment where we don’t, for once, worry about how all this is going to effect Israel? Israel can still kick the ass of any country in the region that it wants. Israel will be fine. For god’s sake, stop worrying about Israel.
I had cause to reflect on this after a conversation with someone who was not convinced that the Muslim Brotherhood isn’t about to take over Egypt (never mind that the Jordanian branch is legal, active in politics and has, at several points, been the controlling party in that country’s politics–and one could argue that even at the worst of times that Jordanian-Israeli relations have been far better than Egyptian-Israeli relations), and then lamented, “You know, we give these people democracy and then they go and do stuff like elect Hamas.”
Ah, right. The old, “Democracy is too important to be wasted on the Chileans” argument (quote from Henry Kissinger in 1972).
For many in the West (including, I fear, myself), the hardest aspect of this Arab Awakening will be the possibility that some of these new governments might not be as willing to toe the line as some of their predecessors. It’s not the first time this has happened (anyone remember Viet Nam)? On the other hand, while terrorism exists in democratic countries (the IRA, ETA, and November 17 are all examples, not to mention the one-offs like Tim McVeigh, the Unabomber, and the jerks who shot Yitzhak Rabin and Gabbi Giffords), one can’t help think that the re-discovery of civil society might weaken support for militant extremists.
Am I being pollyanish? Maybe. It took the better part of a decade for Eastern Europe to recover from the death throes of Communism…but, despite fears of a Russian implosion and transition to kleptocracy, they did. So, let us take a moment to celebrate the Arab Awakening without focusing on all the fiddly bits that lie ahead. Because they will be fiddly and they will be difficult, and they may not go the way *we* would like. But as long as they reflect the wishes of the people … well, isn’t that what this is all about?






